Nico Paz Card Market Outlook
Sport: Soccer
Verdict: Avoid new positions (AVOID)
Why this verdict: Weak composite (37) — supply ratio 5.0x, aligned (0/6)
Player-level card-market outlook, not a valuation or buy/sell recommendation for every card, parallel or grade.
Evidence context: Signal score 32/100 · Verdict support MED · 40 reported player-market sales
Signal score summarizes market conditions; it is not a success probability, confidence percentage or expected return.
40 reported player-market sales. Search-reported sales, exact-card matching unverified. Exact card, parallel and grade matching is not established by this player-level sample.
Market phase (expansion) describes trading conditions, not an instruction to buy or a forecast of this player's career.
Sales are search-reported, not independently verified exact-card matches. The evidence snapshot is more than seven days old; current conditions may differ.
Analysis generated: 2026-06-01T05:08:42.518Z. Evidence snapshot observed: 2026-06-01T05:08:42.518Z. Observation time is not a sale or publication date.
How HobbyAlpha builds and grades verdicts
Advisor Analysis
Market signals are weak — weak demand with stable momentum, weak structure ($60 avg, 40 sold/30d, +5%). 5x supply-to-sales ratio. Key drivers: momentum +11, demand +7. Better opportunities exist elsewhere. If you hold, monitor for a bounce before selling.
Key Reasons
- 40 cards sold in 30 days, 200 active listings (5x supply-to-sales ratio)
- Prices up 5% while volume is stable
- Expansion phase with weak demand — score 32/100
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